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German Defence Minister arrives in Turkey for talks | Source: Ahval News

The two foreign ministers are expected to discuss tensions in the eastern Mediterranean, the outcomes of this week’s NATO summit, and NATO’s withdrawal from Afghanistan. On the other hand, Turkey is seeking to complete a series of defence deals with Germany.

Source: Ahval News


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Turkey may expand eastern Mediterranean drilling amid territory dispute | Source: Jerusalem Post

The Turkish drilling vessel Yavuz is seen being escorted by a Turkish Navy frigate in the eastern Mediterranean off Cyprus, August 6, 2019
(photo credit: REUTERS)

Turkey may drill more boreholes in its search for gas in the eastern Mediterranean, Energy Minister said, an area where its search and drilling operations led to a standoff with Greece and Cyprus last year. If the gas can be commercially extracted, the discovery could transform Turkey’s dependence on Russia, Iran and Azerbaijan for energy imports.

Source: Jerusalem Post


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EUROPE:

MEDITERRANEAN:

  • Turkey and Greece resumed talks aimed at addressing long-standing maritime disputes, ending a five-year hiatus after months of tensions in the eastern Mediterranean. But, despite agreeing to resume talks, Ankara and Athens still appeared to disagree over the topics to be covered in the run-up to Monday’s meeting.

SOURCE: FRANCE 24


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MEDITERRANEAN:

  • The European Union and Turkey emphasised the need for concrete steps to improve relations, after clashing over a number of regional issues in recent months. Turkey remains at loggerheads with EU members Greece and Cyprus over access to hydrocarbon reserves in the eastern Mediterranean. In December, EU leaders agreed to extend sanctions against officials in charge of Turkey’s drilling operations in the disputed waters.

SOURCE: AHVAL NEWS


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MEDITERRANEAN:

  • Germany visited Turkey to promote the talks designed to de-escalate political and military disputes with Greece over offshore territorial claims. Turkey and Greece are due to hold bilateral talks to resolve their differences over sea boundaries next week. 

SOURCE: AHVAL NEWS


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MEDITERRANEAN:

  • The US accused Russia of working to destabilize the Mediterranean region, pointing to a series of actions from Libya to Syria. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Moscow “continues to threaten Mediterranean stability using a variety of techniques to spread disinformation, undermine national sovereignty, and sow chaos, conflict, and division within countries throughout the region.”

SOURCE: ANADOLU AGENCY


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Middle East

MIDDLE EAST

  • ISRAEL/LEBANON: Israel and Lebanon resumed US-mediated talks over their disputed Mediterranean Sea border.  The meetings follow a series of deals under which the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan agreed to establish full relations with Israel. The talks between Israel and Lebanon aim to kick-start hydrocarbon exploration in the potentially gas-rich area.

SOURCE: THE NATIONAL NEWS

 

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MIDDLE EAST

  • After the peace agreement signed recently, Israel will propose that the UAE help promote the construction of a land pipeline between Saudi Arabia and Israel for oil and distillates for shipping from the Mediterranean coast onto Europe and North America using the existing infrastructure of the EAPC pipeline. Such plan would be cheaper and safer by bypassing the dangerous and costly Straits of Hormuz and Suez Canal shipping routes.

SOURCE: GEOPOLITICS NEWS

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Europe (Mediterranean)

EUROPE:

  • Turkey has announced that Russia will hold live-fire naval exercises in the eastern Mediterranean, amid escalating tensions between Turkey and its coastal neighbors Greece and Cyprus over rights to search for energy resources in the region. The move could clearly be a message from Moscow that it remains a major regional player whose influence won’t be diminished by Washington.

SOURCE: THE WASHINGTON POST

 

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Global Geopolitical Conflicts News Analysis

Global Geopolitical Conflicts News Analysis

Global Geopolitical Conflicts News Analysis:

PERSPECTIVES AND TRENDS:

AUGUST 2020:

The August news on geopolitics analyzed by GGN revealed three main trends:

  • Actions to contain China’s expansion in strategic geopolitical areas of Asia Pacific and South Asia were increased.
  • Tension grew between the countries that have geopolitical interests in the Mediterranean.
  • More tension in the Middle East, after Israel and the United Arab Emirates signed an agreement that could modify the balance of power of the region.

Regarding the actions taken during August to contain China’s expansion in Asia Pacific and South Asia, are mentioned:  1) The Five Eyes alliance –US, the UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand– plan to include Japan as a member. 2) India and Japan plan to sign an important military logistics agreement. 3) India and Vietnam agreement to strengthen their strategic partnership. 4) India´s project to support infrastructures plans in Maldives (Maldives has become a focal point for India and China, particularly in the wake of China’s Belt and Road Initiative). 5) Moreover, US sent in August a high level official mission to Taiwan to show them it´s effectively recognition as a sovereign nation.

The results of these countries efforts to contain China are yet to be known.

As for the Mediterranean region, tension grows after various maneuvers carried out by Turkey with the intention of exploiting natural gas in the region. Turkey conducted in August exercises with a U.S. Navy destroyer in the Eastern Mediterranean. In response, Greece launched military exercises jointly with France, Italy and Cyprus in the same zone.

Turkey is planning to create a three-seas link (the Mediterranean, the Black Sea, and the Caspian Sea, named Turkish Silk Road), that could be supported by India, the European Union, and the United States, with anti-Chinese connotations, adding more tension in the region.

Regarding the Middle East, the new deal may radicalize the opposition between the Gulf-Egypt-Israel axis and Iran, as well as between the same axis and Turkey and Qatar. Iran, Qatar, Turkey, and all Palestinian factions already denounced the agreement, declaring that represents a victory for Israel and its ally United States.

The situation in Middle East could get more complicated if Israel and the United States achieve more Arab countries to follow the UAE’s path, as they are already trying to do.