Member nations of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP, with 11 member countries) officially agreed to allow the United Kingdom to start the process of joining the pact. The United Kingdom’s admission into CPTPP would bring the nominal gross domestic product of the zone covered by the pact almost on par with that of the European Union.
The UK’s recently completed Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy claimed that “Russia remains the most acute threat to our security”, but in reality it’s actually the UK that remains the most acute threat to Russia’s security in Europe behind the US of course.
From these revelations, it can be concluded that the UK considers itself to be in a “spy war” with Russia, which it’s waging both in pursuit of its own traditional divide-and-rule interests in Europe as well as on behalf of its American ally which shares the same goal. Manipulatively presenting Russia as the UK’s greatest threat is nothing more than a means of justifying further aggression against it under the pretext of so-called “self-defense”. It’s noteworthy to also point out that the same Integrated Review also disclosed London’s plans to increase its nuclear warhead arsenal by an astounding 40% in a move that Moscow decried as “a decision that harms international stability and strategic security” where “an ephemeral threat from Russia was voiced as justification.” The Eurasian Great Power might therefore have no choice but to defend its interests in line with international law by taking whatever countermeasures it considers to be appropriate in the face of this threat.
The present dynamic of British-Russian rivalry is a modern-day remix of their traditional competition all across the 19th century. At that time, the so-called “Great Game” mostly played out in Central Asia and parts of West and South Asia, the latter of which concerned the then-Persia and Afghanistan respectively. The British Empire was actively seeking to contain the Eurasian Great Power as a continuation of the historical trend whereby sea-based (thalassocratic) states seek to contain land-based (tellurocratic) ones. This International Relations theory is increasingly being confirmed as practically being akin to a law at this point as evidenced from this example and other related ones such as the US’ complementary efforts against other multipolar tellucorcatic civlization-states like China and Iran. It’s therefore understandable why the UK has submitted itself to being the US’ “Lead From Behind” junior partner to this end in Europe, though mostly in the HybridWar sense.
With this in mind, the contours of the New Cold War are becoming increasingly apparent and might possibly remain enduring. The historical trend of thalassocracies versus tellucorcacies continues insofar as the US and its junior UK partner are actively seeking to contain Russia, China, and Iran. The Western Eurasian front of this global strategic competition remains complex considering the fact that Germany is dominated by thalassocratic influences despite being a tellucrocratic state. This explains its schizophrenic stance of simultaneously waging its own Hybrid War on Russia in parallel with attempting to stabilize relations with Moscow through Nord Stream II, which is vehemently opposed by its American patron. It can therefore be predicted that the outcome of the New Cold War in Europe will be greatly determined by Germany’s ability to promote its sovereign interests vis-a-vis Russia despite heavy pressure from the US and the UK to keep the two apart.
NORTHERN IRELAND: The New IRA, a dissident Irish republican group in Northern Ireland, could have ties to Hezbollah and other militant groups in the Middle East, according to intelligence gathered by the UK security services. The Middle Eastern groups may be providing the New IRA with both funds and weapons.
UNITED KINDOM: Thousands of protesters from across the UK gathered in London’s Trafalgar Square on Saturday to protest against coronavirus restrictions and reject mass vaccinations. The demonstration mirrored an event in Berlin on Saturday, which drew 18,000 coronavirus skeptics (see also GGN Anti-government protests August 2020).
LITHUANIA: Lithuania bans Hezbollah members from entry the country. Lithuania says the move was in solidarity with the US, Germany, the UK and the Netherlands, who view Hezbollah in its entirety as a terror group. Israel has welcomed Lithuania’s decision.
BELARUS: Mass protests broke out in major cities across Belarus as authorities said long-time President Alexander Lukashenko was on course to secure a sixth consecutive term following an election that the opposition said was rigged. At least one person was killed and dozens were injured in clashes between police and protesters. Lukashenko said that protests had been orchestrated by Poland, the United Kingdom, and the Czech Republic.